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Letter to the Editor
Neural network and logistic regression predictive calculator for giant cell arteritis
Red neuronal y calculadora predictiva de regresión logística para la arteritis de células gigantes
E.B. Ing
Departamento de Oftalmología, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
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    "textoCompleto" => "<span class="elsevierStyleSections"><p id="par0005" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">I read with interest the article by Mora&#241;a et al&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0005"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span></a></p><p id="par0010" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">An alternative giant cell arteritis &#40;GCA&#41; risk calculator employing both neural network and logistic regression models &#40;NN-LR&#41; was published in early 2019&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0010"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span></a> and is available online at <a href="https://goo.gl/THCnuU">https&#58;&#47;&#47;goo&#46;gl&#47;THCnuU</a>&#46; The prediction model was developed using retrospective data from 1201 consecutive patients undergoing temporal artery biopsy for suspected giant cell arteritis at 14 medical centers&#46; The patients were referred by ophthalmologists and internal medicine specialists&#46; The NN-LR calculator adheres to the guidelines for the Transparent Reporting of Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Diagnosis or Prognosis&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0015"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span></a> and has geographic external validation and provides cut-points for 99&#37; and 95&#37; sensitivity&#46;</p><p id="par0015" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The NN-LR calculator used the ten predictor variables of&#58; age&#44; gender&#44; new onset headache&#44; temporal artery tenderness or pulselessness&#44; jaw claudication&#44; vision loss&#44; diplopia&#44; erythrocyte sedimentation rate&#44; C-reactive protein and platelets&#46; The age and the bloodwork predictors were maintained as continuous variables to preserve statistical power&#46; There was no multicollinearity&#46; Age&#44; platelets&#44; jaw claudication and vision loss were the strongest predictors of GCA&#46;</p><p id="par0020" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Unlike the Gonz&#225;lez-L&#243;pez calculator&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0020"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">4</span></a> the NN-LR calculator does not require data on temporal artery biopsy length&#46; The NN-LR calculator did not include polymyalgia rheumatica &#40;PMR&#41; as a predictor variable as it can be a nonspecific clinical manifestation&#44; with overlapping age and acute phase response characteristics with GCA&#46; The distinction of PMR from osteoarthritis flare can be difficult&#46; Reports of joint X-rays were not available in the NN-LR study&#46; Also&#44; rotator cuff injury and fibromyalgia may have overlapping clinical features with PMR&#46;</p></span>"
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                      "titulo" => "Giant cell arteritis and usefulness of a predictive calculator &#91;Article in English&#44; Spanish&#93;"
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                          "etal" => false
                          "autores" => array:4 [
                            0 => "M&#46;N&#46; Mora&#241;a"
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ISSN: 21735794
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