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Inicio Spanish Journal of Psychiatry and Mental Health Prediction of pharmacological response in OCD using machine learning techniques ...
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Pre-proof, online 18 November 2024
Prediction of pharmacological response in OCD using machine learning techniques and clinical and neuropsychological variables
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M Tubío Fungueiriñoa,b,c, E Cernadasd,#, M Fernández-Delgadod, M Arrojoe, S Bertolinf,g,h, E Realf,g,h, J.M Menchonf,g,h,i, A Carracedoa,c,j,k, P Alonsof,g,h,i, M Fernández-Prietoa,b,c,j,,
Corresponding author
montse.fernandez.prieto@usc.es

Corresponding author: Avda. de Barcelona, s/n, 15702 Edificio CiMUS, P2 D3, Santiago de Compostela, A Coruña, Spain
, C Segalàsf,g,h,i
a Genomics and Bioinformatics Group, Center for Research in Molecular Medicine and Chronic Diseases (CiMUS), Universidade de Santiago de Compostela (USC), Santiago de Compostela, Spain
b Fundación Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago de Compostela (FIDIS), Santiago de Compostela, Spain
c Genetics Group, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago (IDIS), Santiago de Compostela, Spain
d Centro Singular de Investigación en Tecnoloxías Intelixentes da USC (CiTIUS), Universidade de Santiago de Compostela (USC), Santiago de Compostela, Spain
e Department of Psychiatry, Psychiatric Genetic Group, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago de Compostela, Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
f OCD Clinical and Research Unit, Psychiatry Department, Hospital Universitari de Bellvitge, Barcelona, Spain
g Institut d'Investigació Biomèdica de Bellvitge (IDIBELL), L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain
h CIBERSAM (Centro de Investigación en Red de Salud Mental), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
i Department of Clinical Sciences, Bellvitge Campus, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
j Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Raras, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
k Fundación Pública Galega de Medicina Xenómica, Servicio Galego de Saúde (SERGAS), Santiago de Compostela, Spain
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Abstract

Introduction: Obsessive Compulsive Disorder is associated with affected executive functioning, including memory, cognitive flexibility, and organizational strategies. As it was reported in previous studies, patients with preserved executive functions respond better to pharmacological treatment, whilst others need to keep trying different pharmacological strategies.

Material and methods: In this work we used machine learning techniques to predict pharmacological response (OCD patients’ symptomatology reduction) based on executive functioning and clinical variables. Among those variables we used anxiety, depression and obsessive-compulsive symptoms scores by applying State-Trait Anxiety Inventory, Hamilton Depression Rating Scale and Yale-Brown Obsessive Compulsive Scale respectively, whilst Rey-Osterrieth Complex Figure Test was used to assess organisation skills and non-verbal memory; Digits’ subtests from Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale-IV were used to assess short-term memory and working memory; and Raven's Progressive Matrices were applied to assess problem solving and abstract reasoning.

Results: As a result of our analyses, we created a reliable algorithm that predicts Y-BOCS score after 12 weeks based on patients’ clinical characteristics (sex at birth, age, pharmacological strategy, depressive and obsessive-compulsive symptoms, years passed since diagnostic and Raven progressive matrices score) and Digits’ scores. A high correlation (0.846) was achieved in predicted and true values.

Conclusions: The present study proves the viability to predict if a patient would respond or not to a certain pharmacological strategy with high reliability based on sociodemographics, clinical variables and cognitive functions as short-term memory and working memory. These results are promising to develop future prediction models to help clinical decision making.

Keywords:
OCD
OCD treatment
pharmacological response
machine learning
executive functions
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