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Original article
Spatial and temporal analysis of invasive pneumococcal disease due to erythromycinresistant serotypes
Análisis espacial y temporal de la enfermedad neumocócica invasora por serotipos resistentes a eritromicina
Abelardo Claudio Fernández Cháveza,
Corresponding author
, Luis García Comasb, Diana Gómez Barrosoc, Rebeca Ramis Prietoc, Nieves López Fresneñad, Cornelia Bishofberguer Valdesa, Jesús María Aranaz Andrésa
a Medicina Preventiva del Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal, IRYCIS, Madrid, Spain
b Servicio de Epidemiología de la Consejería de Sanidad de la Comunidad de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
c Centro Nacional de Epidemiología, Madrid, Spain
d Medicina Preventiva del Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón, Madrid, Spain
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Initial resistance to &#946;-lactam antibiotics soon spread to other antibiotics&#44; such as the macrolides&#44; regarded as the first-line treatment in upper respiratory infections&#46;</p><p id="par0010" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In Europe&#44; the first resistant pneumococci appeared in the 1980s&#46; The incidence of cases due to macrolide-resistant serotypes has remained stable in recent years&#46; In Spain&#44; the proportion of cases &#40;21&#46;6&#37; in 2017&#41; is lower than other European countries&#44; such as France &#40;23&#46;35&#37;&#41;&#44; Romania &#40;27&#46;6&#37;&#41;&#44; Bulgaria &#40;27&#46;6&#37;&#41; or Italy &#40;23&#46;4&#37;&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0020"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">4</span></a>&#46;</p><p id="par0015" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The most important population risk factor for antibiotic resistance is community antimicrobial consumption&#46; Studies indicate that areas with the highest antibiotic consumption have an increased incidence of resistant cases<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0025"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">5</span></a>&#46; Another influencing factor is systematic childhood vaccination with the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine &#40;PCV&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0030"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">6&#44;7</span></a>&#46; The PCV acts by decreasing pharyngeal colonisation by <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Streptococcus pneumoniae</span> in children under two years of age&#44; who are considered to be the main reservoir and transmitters to the rest of the population<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0040"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">8</span></a>&#46;</p><p id="par0020" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In 2006&#44; the heptavalent vaccine &#40;PCV7&#41;&#44; which covers serotypes 4&#44; 6 B&#44; 9V&#44; 14&#44; 18C&#44; 19F and 23F&#44; was included as part of the Community of Madrid &#40;CM&#41;&#8217;s childhood vaccination schedule&#46; As a consequence of the serotype replacement observed&#44; in 2010 it was replaced by the 13-valent vaccine &#40;PCV13&#41;&#44; with six additional serotypes &#40;1&#44; 5&#44; 7F&#44; 3&#44; 6A and 19A&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0045"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">9</span></a>&#46;</p><p id="par0025" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Although the incidence of IPD has diminished in the last 10 years<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0050"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">10</span></a>&#44; a similar geographic distribution between cases would be expected due to erythromycin-resistant serotypes and macrolide consumption<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0055"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">11</span></a>&#44; as well as a different spatiotemporal distribution between cases due to serotypes resistant and sensitive to erythromycin&#46;</p><p id="par0030" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The objective of this study is to analyse the spatiotemporal distribution of IPD cases due to erythromycin-resistant serotypes in the CM during the period between 2007 and 2016 and the relationship with the community consumption of macrolides and childhood vaccination coverage&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0010" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0070">Methods</span><span id="sec0015" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0075">Study scope and period</span><p id="par0035" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">IPD cases in residents of the CM over 59 years of age reported during the 2007&#8211;2016 period&#46; This period was subdivided into the following periods&#58; pre-PCV13 &#40;2007&#8211;2009&#41; and PCV13 &#40;2011&#8211;2016&#41;&#46; PCV13 was included as part of the CM&#39;s childhood vaccination schedule in 2010&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0020" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0080">Case definition</span><p id="par0040" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The IPD case definition of the Epidemiological Surveillance Network &#40;Red de Vigilancia Epidemiol&#243;gica&#41; was used&#44; which requires that one of the following laboratory criteria be met&#58; isolation&#44; detection <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">S&#46; pneumoniae</span> of DNA or antigen in samples from normally sterile sites&#46; The criterion that was fulfilled to define a case of IPD in the present study was the isolation of <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">S&#46; pneumoniae</span> in a sterile sample&#46; Erythromycin resistance was defined as an increase in the minimum inhibitory concentration of erythromycin greater than 0&#46;5 mg&#47;l in the antibiogram&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0025" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0085">Data sources and variables</span><p id="par0045" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Cases reported to the Notifiable Disease Surveillance System &#40;Sistema de Vigilancia de Enfermedades de Declaraci&#243;n Obligatoria &#91;EDO&#93;&#41; were included&#46; This system collects demographic&#44; clinical&#44; epidemiological and microbiological variables using a standardised form&#46; The Regional Public Health Laboratory &#40;Laboratorio Regional de Salud P&#250;blica&#41; identified serotypes using the Quellung reaction and the antibiotic sensitivity analysis according to the <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">European Committee on Antimicrobial Susceptibility Testing</span> &#40;EUCAST&#41; classification<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">12</span></a>&#46; The cases were classified into four groups according to the type of serotype&#58; &#40;1&#41; any serotype &#40;total ST&#41;&#44; &#40;2&#41; serotypes included in the PCV13 &#40;STPCV13&#41;&#44; &#40;3&#41; serotypes additional to the PCV7&#44; included in the PCV13 &#40;STPCV13not7&#41; and &#40;4&#41; serotypes not included in the PCV13 &#40;STnotPCV13&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0050" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The Vaccine Information System &#40;Sistema de Informaci&#243;n Vacunal&#41; provided the number of vaccinated cases per year&#46; Annual vaccination coverage &#40;VC13&#41; was calculated as the proportion of primary vaccinated children in the two-year-old cohort and was categorised into three levels &#40;&#60;85&#37;&#44; 86&#37;&#8211;90&#37;&#44; and &#62;90&#37;&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0055" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Furthermore&#44; the Pharmaceutical Provision Information and Analysis System &#40;Sistema de Informaci&#243;n y An&#225;lisis de la Prestaci&#243;n Farmac&#233;utica&#41; provided the community antibiotic consumption&#44; expressed as the defined daily dose &#40;DDD&#41; pertaining to the population of Madrid over 59 years of age&#46; The DDD groups consumption per prescribed active ingredient &#40;ATC&#41; of a family of antibiotics &#40;macrolides&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0065"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a>&#46; Subsequently&#44; the DDD per 1&#44;000 inhabitants per day &#40;DDD&#47;1&#44;000 inhabitants&#47;day&#41; of over-59s was calculated<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0065"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a>&#46; The following formula was used&#58; DDD&#47;1&#44;000 inhabitants&#47;day &#61; &#40;DDD&#42;1&#44;000&#41;&#47;population&#42;365&#46; The reference population was obtained from the Continuous Register of the Statistics Institute &#40;Padr&#243;n Continuo del Instituto de Estad&#237;stica&#41; of the CM&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0030" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0090">Data analysis</span><p id="par0060" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The trend analysis was performed using Joinpoint Trend Analysis models&#44; which calculated the Annual Percent Change &#40;APC&#41; between the cumulative incidence from one year to the next&#46; The Average Annual Percent Change &#40;AAPC&#41; of the accumulated incidences throughout the study period was also estimated&#46; Both estimates were made for the four groups of cases defined by serotype&#46;</p><p id="par0065" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The mean annual incidences of the pre-PCV13 and PCV13 periods were compared for each group of cases using the Incidence Rate Ratio &#40;IRR&#41; obtained from the Poisson models&#46;</p><p id="par0070" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">To carry out the spatial analysis&#44; the cumulative incidence of cases was calculated for each one of the 11 historical health areas &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0005">Fig&#46; 1</a>&#41; in the pre-PCV13 and PCV13 periods for the four groups of defined cases&#46; Incidences were smoothed using the &#8220;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">empirical Bayes</span>&#8221; technique and represented on maps&#46; This technique calculates the weighted average between the gross cumulative incidence of each area and the overall mean cumulative incidence proportional to the size of the population&#46; In this way&#44; areas with small populations have values closer to the mean and those with large populations values closer to their raw incidence&#46; Macrolide intake &#40;DDD&#47;1&#44;000 inhabitants&#47;day&#41; was also calculated by health area for both periods&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="fig0005"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="par0075" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The detection of clusters of cases was carried out using the SaTScan&#8482; statistics software&#44; developed by Kulldorff&#44; following a Poisson distribution<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0070"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">14</span></a>&#46; This method consists of creating a cylindrical window that continuously changes centre&#44; radius and height&#44; scanning the areas of Madrid&#46; We restricted the radius of the window to the average distance between the centroids of the areas&#46; For each centroid of an area&#44; the radius varied from zero to 25 km&#46; The height of the cylinder represented the time dimension&#44; between 1 and 10 years&#46; The most probable cluster was the one with more cases than expected in the established spatiotemporal dimensions&#46; The p value was obtained through Monte Carlo simulations &#40;999 repetitions&#41; with a 95&#37; confidence interval&#46;</p><p id="par0080" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The association of annual cumulative incidence of IPD with VC13 and DDD&#47;1&#44;000 inhabitants&#47;day was studied for the four groups of cases using a Poisson model&#46; This analysis covers the period from 2010 to 2016&#44; since PCV13 was included as part of the childhood vaccination schedule in 2010&#46;</p><p id="par0085" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The statistical programs used were STATA v&#46; 14&#44; GeoDa&#44; SaTScan&#8482; and Jointpoint Trend Analysis&#46;</p></span></span><span id="sec0035" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0095">Results</span><p id="par0090" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">4&#44;678 cases reported to the Notifiable Disease Surveillance System &#40;EDO&#41; were included&#46; The serotypes of 4&#44;466 cases &#40;95&#46;4&#37;&#41; were isolated and identified at the Regional Public Health Laboratory&#44; 1&#44;936 cases in patients over 59 years of age&#44; 22&#46;1&#37; &#40;427 cases&#41; of them due to erythromycin-resistant serotypes&#46;</p><p id="par0095" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall"><a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0010">Figs&#46; 2</a>a&#44; 2b and 2c represent the evolution of PCV13 coverage&#44; the consumption of macrolides and the incidence of IPD due to erythromycin-resistant serotypes by serotype group&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="fig0010"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="par0100" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The incidence of IPD cases due to erythromycin-resistant serotypes presented a downward trend for all serotypes and for the vaccine serotypes&#46; However&#44; the incidence of cases due to STPCV13not7 increased until 2009&#44; after which it began to decrease&#44; coinciding with the increase in PCV13 coverage&#46; Furthermore&#44; cases due to STnotPCV13 presented an upward trend throughout the period&#46;</p><p id="par0105" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Vaccination coverage has been increasing since it was included as part of the childhood schedule in 2010 and peaked in 2012&#46; The consumption of macrolides diminished between 2007 and 2009&#44; remaining stable until the end of the period studied&#46;</p><p id="par0110" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Incidence trends were estimated using JoinPoint&#46; Cases due to STPCV13 presented a downward trend throughout the entire period studied &#40;AAPC&#58; &#8722;13&#46;8&#37;&#41; and the decrease in cases due to STPCV13not7 was only in the PCV13 period &#40;APC&#58; &#8722;20&#46;6&#37;&#41;&#46; Both trends were statistically significant&#46; VC13 presented an upward and statistically significant trend as of the year of its inclusion in the childhood vaccination schedule &#40;AAPC&#58; 98&#46;6&#37;&#41;&#46; Community consumption of macrolides first presented a period with a downward trend followed by an upward one&#44; both of them statistically insignificant&#46;</p><p id="par0115" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The mean annual incidence for the groups of IPD cases was lower in the PCV13 period&#44; except for cases due to STnotPCV13 &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0005">Table 1</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="tbl0005"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="par0120" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In the pre-PCV13 period&#44; the health areas with the highest smoothed mean incidences of total ST&#44; STPCV13 and STnotPCV13 were 6&#44; 8 and 10&#44; while in the post-PCV13 period it was areas 8&#44; 10 and 1&#46; With regard to the cases due to STPCV13not7&#44; it was areas 6&#44; 1&#44; 8 and 9 in the pre-PCV13 period and 8&#44; 10 and 11 in the PCV13 period &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0015">Fig&#46; 3</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="fig0015"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="par0125" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">For macrolides&#44; the areas with the highest consumption were 1&#44; 3 and 8 in both periods&#46; Consumption increased in area 9 and decreased in area 6 in the PCV13 period &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0015">Fig&#46; 3</a>&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0130" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Two clusters were detected due to STPCV13 in the pre-PCV13 periods and one cluster due to STnotPCV13 in the PCV13 period&#46; Health areas 4 and 7 coincided in the clusters due to STPCV13 and STnotPCV13 &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0010">Table 2</a> and <a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0020">Fig&#46; 4</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="tbl0010"></elsevierMultimedia><elsevierMultimedia ident="fig0020"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="par0135" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Childhood PCV13 coverage was inversely associated with the incidence of cases due to vaccine serotypes&#44; but not with the incidence of cases due to STnotPCV13&#46; Community macrolide consumption was not associated with the incidence of any of the serotype groups&#44; but the IRR was greater than 2 for the total ST and STnotPCV13 groups &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0015">Table 3</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="tbl0015"></elsevierMultimedia></span><span id="sec0040" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0100">Discussion</span><p id="par0140" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The incidence of IPD cases due to erythromycin-resistant serotypes included in the PCV decreased in adults above the age of 59 in the period studied&#44; during which time PCV7&#44; and subsequently PCV13&#44; were included in the childhood vaccination schedule&#46; The mechanism of action of PCV consists of reducing the pharyngeal carriage of <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">S&#46; pneumoniae</span> in children under two years old who are considered to be the reservoir and transmitters of the microorganism to the adult population<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0030"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">6&#44;7&#44;15</span></a>&#46; In this way&#44; systematic childhood vaccination reduces the spread of susceptible and resistant vaccine serotypes&#46; This indirect effect of the vaccine has also been observed in neighbouring countries&#44; which have presented reductions in incidence rates in adults<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0080"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">16&#8211;18</span></a>&#46; In contrast&#44; in countries with low childhood vaccination coverage&#44; the incidence remained high &#40;Vietnam 72&#37;&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0095"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">19</span></a>&#46;</p><p id="par0145" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In the United States&#44; macrolide-resistant serotypes increased from 18&#37; of isolated cases in 1998 to 45&#37; in 2011<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0100"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">20</span></a>&#46; In some European countries&#44; such as Malta or Romania&#44; high prevalences &#40;40&#37;&#41; were also recorded&#44; although in others&#44; such as the Netherlands&#44; prevalence was lower &#40;4&#46;3&#37;&#41;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0105"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">21</span></a>&#46; In Madrid&#44; the increase in the incidence of cases due to macrolide-resistant vaccine serotypes was observed before the inclusion of PCV13 in the systematic vaccination schedule&#46;</p><p id="par0150" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">To evaluate the indirect and specific effect of PCV13&#44; we studied the incidence of cases by serotypes included in the vaccine and within them the STPCV13not7&#44; the serotypes targeted by the vaccine&#46; One peculiarity of the evolution of these serotypes was the short increase in their incidence until 2010&#44; when PCV13 was included in the childhood vaccination schedule&#46; This could be due to the pressure created by community macrolide consumption&#44; despite the slight decrease observed in that period&#44; and serotype replacement caused by PCV7 coverage<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0055"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">11&#44;22&#44;23</span></a>&#46; Despite this&#44; our study did not identify significant associations between the incidence of cases and macrolide consumption&#46; This situation could be explained by the stability of macrolide consumption throughout the period studied and the opposite and neutralising effect of childhood vaccination coverage&#46;</p><p id="par0155" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The areas with highest macrolide consumption presented a higher incidence of cases&#46; These areas were similar in the pre-PCV13 and PCV13 periods and were located in the south of the CM&#46; According to the MEDEA study&#44; the aforementioned districts group together the basic health zones with the highest rates of deprivation<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0120"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">24&#44;25</span></a>&#46; It is noteworthy that the worsening of socioeconomic conditions is a population risk factor for antibiotic resistance<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0130"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">26&#44;27</span></a>&#46;</p><p id="par0160" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Furthermore&#44; the incidence of cases due to non-vaccine serotypes increased in the vaccination period&#44; surpassing the fall in cases due to vaccine serotypes&#46; This behaviour is similar to serotype replacement after the inclusion of PCV7<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0140"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">28&#8211;30</span></a>&#46; In Western countries with routine childhood vaccination programmes&#44; an increased prevalence of cases due to resistant serotypes not included in the vaccine has also been observed<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0105"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">21</span></a>&#46; Another factor that may account for the increase in cases due to non-vaccine serotypes is related to the dissemination of lineages with mechanisms of resistance to macrolides&#44; as is the case of 24F-CC230 serotypes<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0155"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">31</span></a>&#46;</p><p id="par0165" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The spatiotemporal analysis also indicates the possibility of vaccine serotype replacement by non-vaccine serotypes&#46; IPD clusters due to vaccine serotypes were present only in the pre-PCV13 period&#44; indicative of the inhibitory effect of childhood vaccination coverage during the PCV13 period&#46; On the contrary&#44; clusters due to non-vaccine serotypes were reported in the PCV13 period and were regarded as emerging serotypes&#46; Once again&#44; the clusters for both groups of serotypes were identified in areas with a poorer socioeconomic situation&#46;</p><p id="par0170" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">One of the limitations of the study is the lack of data on childhood vaccination coverage by health area&#44; although it is estimated that there were no significant geographical differences&#46; Another limitation is the fact that socioeconomic variables were not included in the analysis&#44; which could be associated with the distribution of incidence&#46; Furthermore&#44; the nature of the ecological study prevents the results from being extrapolated to the individual level&#46; Despite this&#44; the sources of information used afford the study validity due to the high quality of the data provided by the Notifiable Disease Surveillance System&#44; among which the high proportion of cases with the identified serotype should be noted&#46;</p><p id="par0175" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We can conclude that the incidence of IPD due to erythromycin-resistant serotypes has decreased in over-59s at the expense of cases due to STPCV13&#46; At the same time&#44; the increase in the incidence of cases due to non-vaccine serotypes and their detection as a cluster in the PCV13 period indicate vaccine serotype replacement&#46; Finally&#44; community macrolide consumption remained stable throughout the study period and does not appear to have had a decisive bearing on the evolution of cases due to resistant serotypes&#46;</p><p id="par0180" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The results obtained support the need to promote vaccination policies and the rational use of antibiotics&#46; The introduction of vaccines that include the most common resistant serotypes could be of great value in controlling IPD caused by them&#46; In any case&#44; it is essential to continue with the active&#44; epidemiological and microbiological surveillance programmes&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0045" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0105">Funding</span><p id="par0185" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">No funding was received for the preparation of this research work&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0050" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0110">Conflicts of interest</span><p id="par0190" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest&#46;</p></span></span>"
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        "resumen" => "<span id="abst0005" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0010">Objectives</span><p id="spar0060" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">To study the spatio-temporal distribution of cases of invasive pneumococcal disease &#40;IPD&#41; due to serotypes resistant to erythromycin and its relationship with community consumption of macrolides and childhood vaccination coverage&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0010" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0015">Methods</span><p id="spar0065" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">We selected IPD cases in adults over 59 years old&#44; residents in the Community of Madrid &#40;MC&#41;&#44; notified in the period 2007&#8211;2016&#46; The variables studied were obtained from the Vaccination Information Systems and the Pharmaceutical Service&#46; The cut-off point &#40;minimum inhibitory erythromycin concentration &#62; 0&#46;5 mg&#47;L&#41; of the EUCAST classification was used to define erythromycin resistant serotypes&#46; We used JointPoint to estimate the incidence trends by erythromycin resistant serotypes included in the 13-valent vaccine &#40;STPCV13&#41; and not included in it &#40;STnoPCV13&#41;&#46; The association of these incidences with the community consumption of macrolides and vaccination coverage was made using Poisson models&#46; Statistical scanning was used for the detection of temporal-spaces clusters of cases&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0015" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0020">Results</span><p id="spar0070" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">1936 cases were identified&#44; of which 427 erythromycin resistant serotypes were identified&#46; The incidence of all cases due to resistant serotypes was decreasing &#40;AAPC&#58; &#8722;5&#44;40&#37;&#41;&#46; During the period studied&#44; the incidence of cases due to erythromycin resistant STPCV13 was decreasing with an annual percentage change &#40;APC&#41;&#58; &#8722;13&#46;8 and was inversely associated with childhood vaccination coverage &#40;IRR 0&#46;641&#41;&#44; while that of cases due to erythromycin resistant STnoPCV13 was ascending &#40;APC&#41;&#58; 4&#46;5&#59; and was not associated with coverage&#46; 1 cluster was detected by STnoPCV13 and none by STPCV13 after the date of inclusion of the 13-valent in the childhood vaccination calendar&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0020" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0025">Conclusions</span><p id="spar0075" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">The decrease in IPD due to resistant STPCV13 was associated with an increase in childhood vaccination coverage&#46; The presence of clusters due to STnoPCV13 after the date of inclusion of the 13-valent vaccine in the childhood vaccination calendar indicates serotypes replacement&#46; The increase in cases of resistant STnoPCV13 could be related to the replacement of vaccine serotypes in nasopharyngeal colonization&#44; facilitated by the consumption of macrolides still at high levels in MC&#46;</p></span>"
        "secciones" => array:4 [
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          1 => array:2 [
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        "titulo" => "Resumen"
        "resumen" => "<span id="abst0025" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0035">Objetivos</span><p id="spar0080" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Estudiar la distribuci&#243;n espacio-temporal de los casos de enfermedad neumoc&#243;cica invasora &#40;ENI&#41; por serotipos resistentes a eritromicina y su relaci&#243;n con el consumo comunitario de macr&#243;lidos y la cobertura vacunal infantil&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0030" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0040">M&#233;todos</span><p id="spar0085" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Se seleccionaron los casos de ENI en mayores de 59 a&#241;os residentes en la Comunidad de Madrid &#40;CM&#41; notificados en el per&#237;odo 2007&#8211;2016&#46; Las variables estudiadas fueron obtenidas de los sistemas de informaci&#243;n vacunal y de Prestaci&#243;n Farmac&#233;utica&#46; Se utiliz&#243; el punto de corte &#40;concentraci&#243;n m&#237;nima inhibitoria de eritromicina &#62; 0&#44;5 mg&#47;L&#41; de la clasificaci&#243;n de EUCAST para definir los serotipos resistentes a eritromicina&#46; Mediante JointPoint se estimaron las tendencias de las incidencias de casos por serotipos resistentes a eritromicina incluidos en la vacuna trecevalente &#40;STVCN13&#41; y no incluidos &#40;STnoVCN13&#41;&#46; La asociaci&#243;n de esas incidencias con el consumo comunitario de macr&#243;lidos y la cobertura vacunal se hizo mediante modelos de Poisson&#46; Para la detecci&#243;n de cl&#250;steres espacio-temporales se utiliz&#243; el estad&#237;stico Satscan&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0035" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0045">Resultados</span><p id="spar0090" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Se identificaron 1936 casos&#44; de los que en 427 se identificaron serotipos resistentes a eritromicina&#46; La incidencia de todos los casos por serotipos resistentes fue descendente &#40;AAPC&#58; &#8722;5&#44;40&#37;&#41;&#46; La incidencia de casos por STVCN13 resistentes a eritromicina fue descendente con un porcentaje anual del cambio &#40;APC&#58; &#8722;13&#46;8&#41; y estuvo asociada inversamente a la cobertura vacunal infantil &#40;IRR 0&#46;641&#41;&#44; mientras que la de casos por STnoVCN13 resistentes a eritromicina fue ascendente &#40;APC&#58; 4&#46;5&#41; y no se asoci&#243; con la cobertura&#46; Se detect&#243; 1 cl&#250;ster por STnoVCN13 y ninguno por STVCN13 tras la inclusi&#243;n de la trecevalente en el calendario vacunal infantil&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0040" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0050">Conclusiones</span><p id="spar0095" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">El descenso de ENI por STVCN13 resistentes se asoci&#243; con el incremento de la cobertura vacunal infantil&#46; La presencia de cl&#250;steres de casos por STnoVCN13&#44; en el periodo posterior a la inclusi&#243;n de la VCN13&#44; indica reemplazo de serotipos&#46; El aumento de los casos por STnoVCN13 resistentes podr&#237;a estar relacionado por el reemplazo de los serotipos vacunales en la colonizaci&#243;n nasofar&#237;ngea&#44; facilitada por el consumo de macr&#243;lidos todav&#237;a a niveles altos en la CM&#46;</p></span>"
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          "en" => "<p id="spar0010" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Trends in the incidence of erythromycin-resistant IPD cases and group of serotypes&#46; Community of Madrid&#46; Years 2007 to 2016&#46; &#40;a&#41; All serotypes&#46; &#40;b&#41; STPCV13 and STnotPCV13&#46; &#40;c&#41; STPCV13not7 and STnotPCV13&#46;</p>"
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          "en" => "<p id="spar0015" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Smoothed incidences of IPD due to erythromycin-resistant serotypes and DDD&#47;1&#44;000 inhabitants&#47;day community macrolide consumption in the pre-PCV13 and PCV13 periods&#46;</p>"
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          "en" => "<p id="spar0020" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Spatiotemporal clusters of IPD cases due to STPCV13 and STnotPCV13&#46;</p> <p id="spar0025" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">STPCV13 cluster&#44; STnotPCV13 cluster&#46;</p>"
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          "leyenda" => "<p id="spar0035" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">1&#58; all serotypes&#59; 2&#58; vaccine serotypes&#59; 3&#58; serotypes additional to PCV7&#59; 4&#58; non-vaccine serotypes&#59; 5&#58; Rate ratio index&#46;</p>"
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                  <table border="0" frame="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\tvoid\n
                  \t\t\t\t" class=""><thead title="thead"><tr title="table-row"><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col">Serotype groups&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><th class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_colgroup " colspan="2" align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">Accumulated incidence</th><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col">IRR<span class="elsevierStyleSup">5</span>&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col">p&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th></tr><tr title="table-row"><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">Pre-PCV13&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">PCV13&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th></tr></thead><tbody title="tbody"><tr title="table-row"><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_rowhead " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">Total ST<span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span>&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">4&#46;27&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">2&#46;76&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">0&#46;65&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">0&#46;00&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_rowhead " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">STPCV13<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">2&#46;88&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">1&#46;10&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">0&#46;38&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">0&#46;00&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_rowhead " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">STPCV13not7<span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span>&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">1&#46;64&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">0&#46;74&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">0&#46;45&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">0&#46;00&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_rowhead " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">STnotPCV13<span class="elsevierStyleSup">4</span>&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">1&#46;39&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">1&#46;67&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">1&#46;20&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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          "en" => "<p id="spar0030" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Cumulative incidence of erythromycin-resistant IPD by serotype groups&#46; Comparison between the periods&#58; prePCV13 &#40;2007&#8211;2009&#41; and PCV13 &#40;2011&#8211;2016&#41;&#46;</p>"
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " colspan="2" align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">1&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">2007&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">2012&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">57&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">2&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">8&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">2008&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">2009&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">19&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">2&#44; 4&#44; 3&#44; 7&#44; 1&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">2007&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">2010&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">81&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">2009&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  """
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          "leyenda" => "<p id="spar0055" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">1&#58; all serotypes&#59; 2&#58; vaccine serotypes&#59; 3&#58; serotypes additional to PCV7&#59; 4&#58; non-vaccine serotypes&#59; 5&#58; Incidence rate ratio&#46;</p>"
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ISSN: 2529993X
Original language: English
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